The Lancet Respiratory Medicine

Background: Anxiety affects 22-56% of patients with COPD. It is independently associated with increased exacerbations, readmissions, and mortality. Medical hypnosis transiently alleviates state anxiety in severe COPD, and attenuates experimentally-induced dyspnoea in healthy volunteers. We aimed to assess the efficacy of hypnosis as adjunct therapy for anxiety during Pulmonary Rehabilitation (PR) versus an active comparator controlling for general motivation and relaxation. Methods. HYPNOBPCO_2 was a single-centre, phase 2, cluster-randomised, active-comparator, parallel-group, superiority trial done at Centre Hospitalier de Bligny, France. Adults +30 years with established COPD, mMRC dyspnoea grade +2, and +10 pack-years were eligible. Consecutive pulmonary rehabilitation cohorts (clusters) were randomly assigned (1:1) to medical hypnosis or structured relaxation, both adjunctive to a 4-week inpatient PR. The primary outcome was the six-item State-Trait Anxiety Inventory (STAI-6) at week 4, analysed in the intention-to-treat population. Secondary outcomes were sensory and affective dyspnoea (Multidimensional Dyspnea Profile sensory and affective sub-scales, COPD Assessment Test) and functional capacity (6-minute walk distance). A moderation analysis tested whether the hypnosis effect varied with baseline sensory and affective dyspnoea burden using Bayesian inference. This trial was registered prospectively (NCT04868357) and the protocol published. Findings. Between 27/09/2021 and 31/01/2024, 79 participants in 24 clusters were randomised (medical hypnosis n = 36, age 64.9 [8.3], 20 female; relaxation n = 43, age 67.4 [9.1], 23 female). Anxiety improved in both arms (deltaSTAI-6 = -5.72, posterior probability of reduction beyond MCID = 0.93). Medical hypnosis did not show an advantage over relaxation overall (deltaSTAI-6 = 0.95; posterior probability of reduction beyond MCID = 0.12). Medical hypnosis did show an advantage that scaled with baseline dyspnoea profile: in patients with high sensory and low affective burden, the predicted anxiety reduction relative to relaxation was larger and more probable (deltaSTAI-6 = -9.26; posterior probability of reduction beyond the 3-point MCID = 0.81). No clinically important safety issues were associated with either intervention and there were no deaths. Interpretation. Anxiety improved under both adjunctive mind-body interventions. The usefulness of hypnosis beyond relaxation was predicted by baseline dyspnoea profile, concentrating in patients with predominantly sensory burden. Future trials should focus on evaluating complementary interventions against burden phenotypes, ultimately paving the way for personalized interventions. Funding. Helebor Foundation; Agence Nationale de la Recherche.

Males incur greater risk of tuberculosis (TB) than females, but the contribution of sex-associated immune differences remains unclear. We addressed this using sex-stratified transcriptomic analyses across four independent studies spanning active pulmonary TB, subclinical TB and latent infection, in peripheral blood, bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) and by using the tuberculin skin test (TST) as a standardised in vivo antigenic challenge. In blood of active TB patients, expression of TNF- and type I interferon-regulated signatures, genome-wide gene expression, and performance of leading host-response biomarkers of TB were comparable between sexes. Similarly, blood transcriptomic biomarkers showed no meaningful sex-related differences for predicting asymptomatic or incident TB. In the TST of people with latent infection, bulk and single-cell RNA sequencing identified only limited differences, largely restricted to sex chromosome-linked transcripts, with no consistent evidence of dimorphism in immune-regulated pathways. Single-cell RNA sequencing of BAL samples identified reduced abundance of B cells in male TB patients, with gene expression differences again largely restricted to sex chromosome-linked transcripts. These findings suggest that canonical immune responses associated with TB are broadly similar between the sexes, and that increased TB risk among males more likely reflects differential exposure rather than intrinsic immunological susceptibility.

ABSTRACT Background: Corticosteroids reduce mortality in severe COVID-19 requiring oxygen or invasive mechanical ventilation, yet emerging data suggest that SARS-CoV-2-associated acute lung injury is biologically heterogeneous and that treatment response may vary across molecularly defined disease states. Lung-derived molecular endotypes of severe COVID-19-associated acute lung injury have been described, but direct molecular profiling is not routinely available at the bedside. We evaluated whether a clinical predictor of previously defined lung molecular endotype identifies heterogeneity in corticosteroid treatment effect among mechanically ventilated patients with COVID-19. Methods: We utilized a single-center cohort of 5,000 patients with COVID-19 treated at the University of North Carolina Hospital between January 1, 2020, and December 31, 2022, to emulate a target trial assessing the effect of corticosteroid receipt on mortality, length of stay, and incident organ support. Confounding was addressed through inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). Outcomes for severely ill patients requiring mechanical ventilation were compared to the RECOVERY trial results, with subsequent moderation analysis and stratified analysis by clinically predicted lung molecular endotype and vaccination status. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. Secondary Outcomes were time to discharge alive and progression to additional organ support. Results: This emulated target trial showed a directionally favorable but non-statistically significant association between corticosteroid treatment and reduced 28-day mortality in patients requiring mechanical ventilation for SARS-CoV-2 infection. A clinical predictor of lung molecular endotype moderated the effect of corticosteroids on 28-day mortality (p-value for interaction 0.038) and identified distinct predicted endotype-specific treatment effect. Corticosteroid treatment was associated with lower 28-day mortality in the predicted Hyper-Inflammatory endotype (OR 0.62, 95% CI 0.39, 0.99) but not in the predicted Metabolic Dysregulation endotype (OR 1.15, 95% CI 0.82, 1.61). We did not detect significant effect modification by vaccination status (p-value for interaction 0.65), although inference was limited by the small, vaccinated subgroup (28-mortality OR 0.78, 95% CI 0.37, 1.65 in vaccinated vs 0.94, 95% CI 0.70, 1.26 in unvaccinated). Conclusions: In this target trial emulation of mechanically ventilated patients with severe COVID-19, corticosteroid treatment showed a directionally favorable but non-statistically significant association with reduced 28-day mortality in the overall cohort. However, a clinical predictor of lung molecular endotype identified significant heterogeneity in treatment effect, with benefit concentrated in the predicted Hyper-Inflammatory endotype and no apparent benefit in the predicted Metabolic Dysregulation endotype. These findings support prospective validation of clinically deployable endotype-guided corticosteroid treatment strategies in acute lung injury and ARDS.

Tuberculosis (TB) is increasingly recognised as a spectrum of infection and disease, yet the prevalence of viable, asymptomatic Mycobacterium tuberculosis (M.tb) infection remains uncertain. Subclinical Tuberculosis (scTB), defined as microbiologically confirmed M.tb infection in the absence of recognised symptoms, is under detected by symptom, sputum and imaging-based approaches. We conducted postmortem examinations of 94 adults who died from non-infectious causes, none of whom were clinically suspected of TB or reported TB related symptoms prior to death. Lung and extrapulmonary tissues were cultured for M.tb. Viable M.tb was confirmed in six individuals, corresponding to a prevalence of 6.4% (95% CI: 2.4 to 13.4%). These findings provide direct tissue-based evidence that viable, asymptomatic M.tb infection can persist beyond the reach of conventional clinical detection. Our data suggest that a biologically active reservoir of infection may exist undetected within high-burden settings, with implications for surveillance strategies aimed at TB elimination.

Background Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia (SAB) is clinically heterogeneous. Potential heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) have recently been identified through analysis of patient subgroups, identified using routine clinical variables.However, the impact of misclassifying patients into these groups is unclear, and practical strategies to improve HTE detection remain uncertain. Methods We performed a simulation study using published data from selected randomised trials and observational studies in SAB. We assessed the impact of varying classification accuracy (70%-100%) on i) power, ii) type I error, and iii) bias in post-hoc analyses of HTE. We then evaluated two strategies to improve performance: enrichment designs, in which only patients predicted to belong to a target subgroup are randomised, and the use of ordinal rather than binary outcomes. Results Even with perfect classification, post-hoc detection of heterogeneous treatment effects remained highly conditional on subgroup prevalence, baseline mortality, and effect size. One subgroup was detectable at moderate sample sizes; however, power was inadequate for all other subgroups even with sample sizes of 20,000. Decreasing classification accuracy reduced power, increased type I error, and introduced bias. Enrichment marginally improved power. Ordinal outcomes substantially improved performance when they matched the treatment-effect structure, but were worse when they did not. Conclusions Detecting HTE in SAB is challenging, but not uniformly infeasible. Feasibility depends on the interaction between subgroup frequency, baseline risk, classifier performance, and outcome choice. To advance stratified medicine in SAB, research should prioritize robust classifiers, outcome measures matched to the expected mechanism and pattern of treatment effect, and trial designs that acknowledge uncertainty in subgroup prevalence and treatment-effect structure.

Clesrovimab and nirsevimab are long-acting monoclonal antibodies used to prevent respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease in infants, but waning protection in the first year of life is incompletely characterised. We applied a published Bayesian inference framework to clesrovimab and pooled nirsevimab trial data to estimate time-varying efficacy against medically attended RSV lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) and RSV-associated hospitalisation, accounting for differences in placebo-arm event timing between trials. Estimated clesrovimab efficacy declined from 60.7% (95% CrI: 46.3-72.6) shortly after dosing to 38.3% (8.6-52.9) at six months against medically attended RSV LRTI, and from 87.1% (71.2-96.2) to 49.6% (10.4-70.7) against RSV-associated hospitalisation. For nirsevimab, corresponding estimates declined from 86.9% (75.4-95.0) to 53.8% (27.4-69.7) against LRTI, and from 77.5% (52.6-91.8) to 49.7% (15.7-68.3) against hospitalisation. After accounting for differences in RSV exposure timing and LRTI endpoint definitions between trials, we found no evidence of a difference in efficacy or waning between clesrovimab and nirsevimab.

Background In adults, cold-attributable mortality exceeds heat-attributable mortality roughly 17-fold. Child-specific evidence has begun to emerge only recently - a nationwide Brazilian case-crossover study located the minimum mortality temperature (MMT) for under-five deaths, and a 56-country survey-based analysis linked monthly temperature anomalies to under-five mortality - but no multi-country, climate-zone-resolved estimate of the childhood respiratory-infection MMT exists, and whether temperature variability is independently associated with childhood respiratory mortality at the global scale is unknown. We quantified both. Methods We combined Global Burden of Disease 2023 mortality estimates, lower respiratory infection (LRI) deaths at ages 0-19 years and asthma deaths at ages 0-24 years, 171 countries, 1990-2023 - with 0.5 deg monthly land temperature and diurnal temperature range (DTR) fields from C-LSAT/C-LDTR (1901-2023). Four exposure dimensions (annual mean, DTR, seasonal amplitude, interannual variability) entered two-way fixed-effects models with Driscoll-Kraay standard errors. A quadratic term in mean temperature located the MMT, with percentile confidence intervals from a 300-replication country-cluster bootstrap. Future-exposure leads, country-level detrending, and permutation tests assessed contemporaneous causality, applied to both the linear coefficients and the quadratic term generating the MMT; national pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV3) coverage and ambient PM2.5 exposure series were added as time-varying mechanistic covariates. Results The childhood LRI MMT was 17.1 C (95% CI 14.7-19.8), the 36th percentile of the annual-temperature distribution; zone estimates were 24.7 C in tropical and 15.8 C in subtropical countries, with weak temperate and no subarctic identification. The quadratic term underpinning the MMT, however, failed both falsification checks - future temperatures reproduced the U-shape and country-level detrending erased it - so these MMT values describe a trend-level geographic pattern of the annual construct rather than a contemporaneous dose-response. Interannual temperature variability was positively associated with LRI (+0.278, 95% CI 0.102-0.454; p = 0.002) and asthma mortality (+0.836, 95% CI 0.447-1.226; p = 2.6 x 10^-5) per 1 C, but future-exposure models returned nearly identical significant coefficients and detrending erased significance, supporting only a trend-level association; adjustment for national PCV3 coverage and PM2.5 exposure left these estimates essentially unchanged. Annual mean temperature was likewise inversely associated with both outcomes at the trend level; DTR and seasonal amplitude showed no independent within-country effects. Conclusions This study provides the first multi-country, climate-zone-resolved geography of the optimal temperature for childhood respiratory survival, spanning 171 countries; because the underlying quadratic association is trend-level, the estimates are directional. The observed variability-mortality associations are trend-level signals rather than contemporaneous causal evidence; daily-scale, child-specific designs are required to determine whether short-term thermal variability affects paediatric respiratory mortality.

Autoantibodies neutralizing type I IFNs (AAN-IFN-I) have been found in significant proportions of cases of severe, critical, and fatal COVID-19 pneumonia. We performed a systematic review of 54 studies reporting auto-Abs against type I IFNs and a meta-analysis of 20 studies reporting auto-Abs neutralizing type I IFNs published between 2020 and 2026. The meta-analysis included data for 11,380 SARS-CoV-2-infected individuals from Europe, North America, South America, Asia, the Middle East, North Africa and international multicenter cohorts, including 7,814 with severe or critical disease (69%). The pooled prevalence of AAN-IFN-I was estimated at 7.9% (95% CI, 6.0-10.4). Disease severity was strongly associated with AAN-IFN-I prevalence (OR, 11.7; 95%CI, 7.6-17.9; P=5x10^-29). The pooled prevalence of AAN-IFN-I reached 11.4% (95% CI, 10.2-12.7%) in patients with severe or critical COVID-19 and 15.3% (95% CI, 12.1-19.2%) in those who died. The prevalence of AAN-IFN-I increased with age in patients with severe, critical, or fatal COVID-19. AAN-IFN-I probably accounted for about 1.1 million of the 7.1 million deaths from COVID-19. AAN-IFN-I are strong, common, global determinants of life-threatening COVID-19 pneumonia.

Introduction: Anaemia and micronutrient deficiencies are common in low- and middle-income countries, where vaccine-induced immune responses are often suboptimal. However, whether pre-vaccination nutritional status influences pneumococcal vaccine immunogenicity in young children remains poorly characterised. Methods: We examined associations between pneumococcal vaccine responses in 670 Kenyan children enrolled in three vaccine trials: PRISM (PCV10; n=195; NCT01028326), FPCV (fractional- and full-dose PCV10/PCV13; n=306; NCT03489018), and PATH-wSP (whole-cell pneumococcal vaccine; n=169; NCT02543892) and baseline anaemia (FPCV and PATH-wSP) and micronutrient status (iron, folate, zinc, and vitamins A, B12, D, and E). Analyses were performed separately for each trial. Primary outcomes were post-vaccination serotype- or antigen-specific IgG concentrations, opsonophagocytic activity (OPA) titres, and composite IgG or OPA z scores. Results: Vitamin B12 and haemoglobin concentrations were positively associated with composite and serotype- or antigen-specific antibody responses in analyses controlling for age, sex, malnutrition and inflammation. In the PRISM trial, PCV10-induced IgG (serotypes 1 and 6B) and OPA (serotypes 1, 4, 14, and 23F) responses were positively associated with vitamin B12 concentrations. Moderate anaemia was associated with lower IgG responses to serotypes 9V and 14 following full-dose PCV13 vaccination (FPCV) and lower antigen-specific IgG responses following the 1 mg PATH-wSP vaccine. No consistent associations were observed for ferritin, folate, zinc, or vitamins A, D, and E. Conclusion: Vitamin B12 deficiency and anaemia were associated with reduced pneumococcal vaccine responses in young Kenyan children. Optimising nutritional status before vaccination could be a strategy to improve vaccine responses in populations where anaemia and micronutrient deficiencies are common.

Importance: Pharmacological targeting of host mechanisms that limit sepsis-induced organ dysfunction represents a new therapeutic approach. Preclinical studies showed that low-dose epirubicin enhances tissue damage control and attenuates sepsis severity independently of pathogen burden, thereby promoting disease tolerance to infection. Yet epirubicin can cause myelotoxicity when used in cancer therapy. Objective: To investigate whether low-dose epirubicin can safely be administered to patients with sepsis and septic shock. Design, Setting, and Participants: A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial conducted in five German University hospitals. Patients with sepsis, defined by Sepsis-3 criteria, were eligible within 48 hours after diagnosis. The first patient was enrolled on October 19, 2022, and the last follow-up was conducted on May 21, 2025. Interventions: Eligible patients were randomized in a 4:1 ratio to receive either placebo or low-dose epirubicin in addition to standard care. There were three consecutive phases. Patients in the epirubicin group received a single dose of epirubicin (either 3.75 mg/m2, 7.5 mg/m2 or 15 mg/m2, depending on study phase). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary endpoint of the trial was the 14-day myelotoxicity. Secondary and explorative outcomes included 90-day mortality, the degree of organ dysfunction as assessed by SOFA score, PK/PD modelling and cytokine release. Results: Of 854 patients assessed for eligibility, 32 were randomized and 31 were included in the primary analysis population. Six participants received placebo, nine participants received 3.75 mg/m2, nine received 7.5 mg/m2 and eight individuals received 15 mg/m2 epirubicin, respectively. There was no myelotoxicity in any group. Mortality at 90 days and SOFA-scores were not significantly different between groups. Two of 39 SAEs in the epirubicin group were assessed by the investigators as possibly related to epirubicin, Conclusions and Relevance Among patients with sepsis and septic shock, low dose epirubicin was not associated with increased myelotoxicity.

Interstitial lung diseases (ILDs) are heterogeneous pulmonary disorders characterized by chronic inflammation and/or fibrosis. 30-40% of ILD patients develop fibrotic disease that is associated with progressive respiratory decline and poor prognosis, particularly in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Current antifibrotic therapies slow disease progression but do not reverse fibrosis, highlighting the need for improved therapeutic strategies. Robust histopathological evaluation in preclinical models is essential for drug development; however, conventional scoring systems are semi-quantitative, labor-intensive, subject to inter-observer variability, and rely on limited field sampling. Here, we introduce FibroSight, a standalone platform for compartment-resolved quantification of lung remodeling in Sirius Red-stained sections. By integrating deep learning- based structural segmentation with color-based feature extraction, FibroSight enables highly automated whole-lobe analysis without requiring complex computational setup. The platform quantifies complementary remodeling parameters, including parenchymal collagen fraction, parenchymal tissue density, nuclear area fraction, parenchymal airspace fraction, and airway- and vascular-associated remodeling. Validated in the bleomycin-induced fibrosis model, FibroSight-derived metrics strongly correlated with expert Ashcroft scoring and showed stronger associations with histological severity than corresponding outputs from a semi-automated ImageJ-based workflow. The platform further distinguished inflammatory from fibrotic remodeling in influenza-induced lung injury and demonstrated translational proof-of-concept applicability in human ILD biopsy specimens. By enabling scalable, reproducible, and multi-compartment histological quantification, FibroSight provides a practical framework for objective assessment of lung remodeling. This approach expands conventional fibrosis evaluation by integrating fibrotic, inflammatory, airway, and vascular-associated readouts, supporting more precise analysis of disease mechanisms and therapeutic responses in preclinical and translational ILD research.

Background Loss to follow-up (LTFU) during tuberculosis treatment is a major programmatic gap, but its causal effect on mortality has been difficult to quantify. We estimated this effect using a sequential landmark cohort analysis. Methods and Findings We constructed a retrospective cohort of individuals aged [≥]15 years initiating their first tuberculosis treatment in Sao Paulo State, Brazil (2013-2023), using the State registry (TBweb) linked to the national mortality system (SIM). To account for immortal-time bias, we compared mortality between LTFU and continued-treatment patients in time-aligned monthly cohorts, applying a symmetric 30-day grace period to align eligibility. Cause-specific Cox models estimated adjusted hazard ratios for late (6-24 month) mortality, with non-TB mortality as a within-cohort negative control. We also computed standardized (g-formula) absolute mortality risk differences over the same window. Effect modification was assessed across pre-specified subgroups (age, sex, HIV, homelessness, drug-resistance status, calendar period). Of 171,048 individuals initiating tuberculosis therapy, 20,830 (12.2%) experienced LTFU. LTFU at any month substantially increased late mortality (adjusted hazard ratios [aHR] 1.83 [95% CI 1.27-2.64] to 2.85 [2.34-3.48] by month of LTFU), corresponding to standardized late-window mortality risk differences of up to 1.6 percentage points. The excess was concentrated in TB-attributable deaths (aHR 1.60-4.36) and was essentially null for non-TB mortality (0.96-1.48). Relative effects were largest in younger, stably housed individuals with low baseline mortality, whereas the largest absolute excess fell on people living with HIV (risk difference 3.0 percentage points). Conclusions LTFU at any point in tuberculosis therapy substantially increased late TB-attributable mortality, consistent with a causal pathway through interrupted treatment. Preventing LTFU should be a programmatic priority.

Introduction Current treatments for multiple sclerosis (MS) do not address the pathological processes of neurodegeneration and chronic demyelination. This, coupled with the significant challenges of translating promising phase 2 results to phase 3 trial success, highlights the need for more efficient trial designs, such as platform multi-arm multi-stage (MAMS) trial approaches. MAMS trials have demonstrated success in areas such as oncology and infectious diseases. They are typified by a statistically robust core trial design that allows the addition of further treatment arms and utilisation of interim outcome analyses at pre-defined timepoints, to determine whether to terminate a treatment arm early or proceed to the final outcome analysis. To address the challenges in progressive multiple sclerosis (PMS) treatment discovery, the Optimal Clinical Trials Platform for PMS (OCTOPUS) trial was developed. It currently utilises MRI whole-brain atrophy as its interim outcome measure and the clinically relevant composite Expanded Disability Status Scale Plus (EDSS-Plus) as its final outcome measure. A rigorous and systematic drug selection process that assessed preclinical in vitro and animal model evidence, along with additional human data, led to the prioritisation of R/S-alpha lipoic acid (R/S-ALA) and metformin for testing against placebo, targeting pathobiological mechanisms relevant to PMS. All participants will be eligible to receive the current standard of care, including disease-modifying treatments (DMTs). Method and analysis OCTOPUS will be a multi-centre, randomised, placebo-controlled, double-blind, phase 3, MAMS trial of participants aged 25 to 70 years (inclusive) with PMS and an EDSS score of 4.0 to 8.0 (inclusive). Steady progression must be the major cause of increasing disability rather than relapse in the preceding 2 years. In the trial s first candidate drug cycle, participants will be allocated to R/S-ALA, metformin, or placebo in a 1:1:1 ratio. Cycle 1 active treatments will start as R/S-ALA 600 mg once daily, increased after 4 weeks to 600 mg twice daily, or metformin 1 g once daily, increased after 4 weeks to 1 g twice daily. The trial will be multinational, with participation from 28 hospitals across the UK and 10 hospitals in Australia. Clinician-reported measures will include: the EDSS-Plus and the individual components: EDSS, Timed 25 Foot Walk (T25FW); 9 Hole Peg Test (9HPT); Symbol Digit Modalities Test (SDMT); Sloan Low Contrast Visual Acuity (SLCVA); and Relapse assessment. Patient-reported outcomes include MS specific walking, fatigue, pain, and impact scales. We will include a health economic analysis. Analysis stage 1 will require randomisation of 125 participants per arm and utilise MRI percentage brain volume change (PBVC) with the Structural Image Evaluation using Normalisation of Atrophy (SIENA) technique from baseline to 78 weeks. A positive outcome in analysis stage 1 will detect a 0.15% per year whole brain atrophy difference with a one-sided alpha of 0.35 and power of 95%, ensuring a low probability of erroneously rejecting a treatment arm at this stage. Any arms that show a positive effect will proceed to final analysis stage 2. Analysis stage 2 will require 600 participants per arm. Participants included in stage 1 will also be included in the stage 2. Analysis stage 2 will evaluate time to 6-month confirmed disability progression in the EDSS-Plus, in order to detect a 25% hazard ratio reduction with 90% power and an alpha of 0.05. Assuming one treatment arm proceeds to analysis stage 2, the trial will recruit approximately 1,200 participants and last about 6 years. This is approximately two-thirds the size and half the duration of separately conducted two-arm phase 2 and 3 trials. Ethics and dissemination The protocol was approved by the London Hampstead REC (22/LO/0622). This manuscript is based on protocol version 8.0, 28th August 2025. The findings of this trial will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications and conference presentations. There will be a close communication strategy developed with the UK MS Society (MSS) and full patient and public involvement and engagement (PPIE). Trial registration ISRCTN: 14048364 EudraCT number: 2021-003034-37 CTA 20363/0445 IRAS number: 1003943 Secondary identifying numbers: ND001, CPMS 54274 Strengths and limitations - The OCTOPUS trial will be the first platform multi-arm multi-stage phase 3 trial in PMS, offering the potential to significantly expedite clinical trial processes with advantages in cost- and time-efficiency, focusing specifically on the poorly treated pathobiological processes of chronic neurodegeneration and demyelination - It will begin by assessing two promising drug candidates, immediate-release metformin and R/S-ALA, and will expand over the duration of the trial to include more drug arms under the same trial master protocol - The flexible and statistically robust trial design means that several components of the design (such as the early analysis stage 1 interim outcome) can be updated in line with evolving scientific knowledge - It will ultimately be the largest ever investigator-initiated phase 3 trial in PMS - It will include a range of national and international trial sites, including neuroscience centres and district general hospitals - It will have a high inclusion limit for age (up to 70 years) and disability (up to EDSS 8.0) - Several components (the telephone EDSS and virtual patient-reported outcome measures) will be amenable to remote collection increasing inclusivity and thus addressing public and participant suggestions, while minimising the risk of missing data - The main challenges in this trial design are the statistical and methodological complexity involved in design and implementation, and interpretation of interim trial results. Conclusion The trial launched cycle 1 in January 2023. Analysis stage 1 recruitment of 375 participants was achieved in November 2024, enabling planned interim analysis stage 1 to be conducted by late 2026 (Figure 1). On the 1st of June 2026, in the UK, 24 sites are active with a further 4 in set-up as part of stage 2, and in the Australian extension, Platform Adaptive Trial for Remyelination and Neuroprotection in Multiple Sclerosis (PLATYPUS), 1 site is active, with 9 additional sites in set-up.

Background: Invasive non-typhoidal Salmonella (iNTS) disease causes an estimated 605,000 cases and 76,000 deaths each year, concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa, where the African Salmonella Typhimurium sequence type 313 (ST313) lineage predominates. Vaccine development is hampered by an absence of efficacy data and undefined correlates of protection. Methods: We conducted a phase 1, randomised, double-blind, dose-escalation controlled human infection model (CHIM) in healthy UK-resident adults, who were randomly assigned 1:1 to oral challenge with S. Typhimurium 4/74 (ST19, associated with gastrointestinal disease) or D23580 (ST313, associated with invasive disease). Dose-escalation was guided by a Bayesian continual reassessment method (CRM). The primary endpoint was Salmonella diagnosis, defined as sustained fever [≥]38{degrees}C on [≥]2 occasions [≥]12 hours apart and/or bacteraemia. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05870150). Findings: Between August 2023 and December 2024, 50 participants were enrolled (25 per strain). 105 CFU was the maximum feasible dose, with CRM-estimated attack rates of 57.9% (95% credible interval 37.3 - 73.8) for D23580 and 47.4% (26.7 - 65.7) for 4/74. There were no serious adverse events. We found no clinical, microbiological, or immunological difference between the two pathovariants. Higher baseline serum anti-O-antigen IgG was associated with reduced disease (adjusted OR 0.42, 95% CI 0.17 - 0.90) and higher baseline faecal anti-lipopolysaccharide IgA with reduced colonisation (OR 0.12, 95% CI 0.01 - 0.59). Interpretation: This S. Typhimurium CHIM is safe, reproducible, and provides a platform to generate early efficacy signals and candidate correlates of susceptibility, thereby de-risking future iNTS vaccine trials. The absence of a phenotypic difference between the invasive and gastrointestinal pathovariants in immunocompetent adults suggests that host factors, rather than pathogen adaptation alone, shape the invasive phenotype seen in endemic settings. Funding: Wellcome Trust.

Introduction: Respiratory infections are a leading cause of morbidity. Newly available vaccines to prevent respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease and encouraging clinical progress on vaccines for human metapneumovirus (hMPV) and parainfluenza (PIV) could reduce the disease burden beyond existing influenza and SARS-CoV-2 immunisation programs. However, evidence on the contribution of these viruses to respiratory disease burden across the lifespan remains limited. Methods: We reviewed studies from 01/2002-11/2025 reporting age-stratified, medically attended cases of influenza, and at least one of RSV, hMPV, or PIV, in high-income countries, excluding periods substantially overlapping with the COVID-19 pandemic. Using only studies that tested for all four viruses, we estimated the age-specific proportion of cases that were non-influenza (total across RSV, hMPV and PIV) compared to influenza using a mixed-effects logistic regression model. Results: Following exclusions and screening, 61 studies were included in the primary analysis comprising >500,000 detections of the four viruses. We found that a substantial proportion of medically attended respiratory illness in infants and young children was due to PIV, hMPV and RSV, rather than influenza, with a non-influenza virus proportion of 90.2% (95% CI 85.9-93.2%) in young infants aged 0-6 months. The converse was true for school-aged children, with a non-influenza virus proportion of 34.8% (95% CI 26.5-44.2%) in children aged 5-18 years. In adults aged 65+ years, non-influenza causes of medically attended disease were common at 60.2% (95% CI 50.0-69.5%). Restricting to studies reporting hospitalised cases (n=19) produced broadly similar age-specific trends in relative virus burden contributions. Discussion: We highlight the significant burden of medically attended illness due to PIV, hMPV and RSV across ages, particularly in infant and preschool-aged children and older adults, supporting the need for effective vaccines targeting this burden.

Seeking a simple vaccine to protect against all cancer-associated human papillomaviruses (HPV), L2 residues 17-36 of both HPV16 and HPV31 displayed on the surface of an Adeno-Associated Virus-Like Particle (AAVLP-HPV) was developed. Here, a phase 1 randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind clinical study has been conducted in 20 male and female subjects at a single dose level (20 ug) without an adjuvant. AAVLP-HPV vaccine administration was safe and well tolerated. Repeat vaccination with AAVLP-HPV elicited L2-specific neutralizing antibodies of modest titer in serum. Antibodies cross-reactive with L2 of diverse HPV types were detected, but responses were weak in most vaccinees. We conclude that while AAVLP-HPV vaccination is well tolerated, an adjuvant is likely needed to consistently elicit durable and broadly neutralizing responses.

Antimicrobial resistance generates a vast, rapidly growing literature, yet no resource offers a comprehensive, evidence-linked repository of AMR findings at scale. We present ResLit, an automated pipeline and public database that mines the AMR literature for resistance genes, mutations, organisms, and mechanisms. From 2 million candidate PubMed records, BioMistral-7B screened abstracts to 356,000 relevant papers; multi-tier retrieval yielded 117,000 full texts, from which Qwen3-30B performed two-step extraction. ResLit contains 3,120 genes and 13,593 mutations, cross-linked to CARD, ResFinder, and NCBI Reference Gene Catalog across four evidence tiers. It further supports community-driven curation of automated outputs and reference databases. Freely available at www.reslit.info.

Background Tuberculosis remains the leading infectious cause of death worldwide. In the WHO African region, declining incidence has coincided with antiretroviral therapy (ART) scale-up, though whether this reflects reduced progression to disease or reduced transmission is unclear. We evaluated how ART and symptom status influence within-household Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBC) transmission risk. Methods We conducted a case-contact household study in rural South Africa, enrolling index adults with bacteriologically-confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis. MTBC immunoreactivity was measured in all child household contacts (aged 2-14 years) as a proxy measure of within-household transmission. We assessed the influence of index person ART status and symptom status, and explored effect-measure modification of the association between index person HIV status and transmission risk by sex. Results Among 755 child contacts of 296 index persons, effective ART was not associated with within-household MTBC transmission risk (risk ratio [RR], 1.07; 95% CI, 0.66-1.74). Among PLHIV engaged in ART care, WHO TB four-symptom screen (WHO4SS) status was not associated with transmission risk (RR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.43-1.47), although absence of reported cough reduced risk (RR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.38-0.96). A pronounced interaction between sex and HIV status was observed: HIV-negative women had the highest within-household MTBC transmission risk (30.5% vs. 14.3% in women with HIV) whereas risks were similar between HIV-positive and HIV-negative men. Conclusions We found no evidence that effective ART or WHO4SS status influenced within-household MTBC transmission risk, though confidence intervals were wide. Absence of reported cough was associated with lower risk, and transmission risk was highest among child contacts of HIV-negative women. These findings suggest reported cough is a useful marker of transmission risk and that routine tuberculosis screening within ART care may reduce transmission from PLHIV; intensified efforts are nonetheless needed to achieve earlier tuberculosis detection in HIV-negative individuals.

Background: A maternal vaccine (MV) and a long-lasting monoclonal antibody (la-mAB) have been licensed to protect children against RSV. Given the swift waning of their protection, we evaluated the added benefit of seasonal la-mAB administration for children born to vaccinated mothers shortly after the RSV season in Germany. Methods: We fitted an age- and birth season-structured catalytic model to cross-sectional seroprevalence data of RSV antibodies using a Bayesian framework to estimate the timing of RSV infections in children <5. We then estimated the incidence of severe outcomes in the absence of immunisation in children <1. Finally, we estimated the impact of the MV and of additional la-mAB administration, accounting for the waning of protection. Results: We estimate that children would, on average, be 7 months old (mo) at their first infection, those born in the autumn being the youngest at first infection (4 mo). Together with the children born in the winter, they account for 46% of all RSV hospitalisations and 62% of RSV ICU admissions in unimmunised <1 yo. MV would prevent a total of 776 (473-1,122) hospitalisations per 100,000 vaccinees and 73 (51-94) ICU admissions per 100,000 vaccinees, predominantly among autumn-born children. The summer birth cohort would benefit most from additional la-mAB administration, preventing an additional 46% (10-63) of ICU admissions compared to MV alone, corresponding to an additional 25 (4-45) ICU admissions prevented per 100,000 immunised children. Conclusion: Compared to MV alone, the impact of MV+la-mAB on RSV hospitalisations and ICU admissions would likely be modest.

Background: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a leading cause of global morbidity and mortality, and its heterogeneity demands better biomarkers of severity and progression risk. Extracellular vesicles (EVs) are promising blood-based biomarkers, but have not been examined for COPD severity and outcomes in a large multicentre cohort. Methods: We analysed 600 COSYCONET participants (up to 54 months of follow-up). EV surface markers were profiled with the MACSPlex EV Kit IO. Cross-sectional associations with severity (GOLD, FEV1) were primary (ordinal and linear regression); longitudinal trajectories and all-cause mortality were prespecified exploratory endpoints. Results: Six EV markers showed robust associations with cross-sectional severity: CD29, CD49e and CD31 increased with severity (a cell-adhesion/matrix-remodelling signal), whereas CD81 and CD8 decreased; HLA-ABC (increasing) was less specific. No marker was linked to FEV1 decline. After FDR correction, lower levels of three markers with higher 54-month mortality (all HR<1): CD25 (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.65-0.90, q=0.018), CD56 (HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.63-0.89, q=0.018) and CD142 (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.60-0.90, q=0.024). CD25 and CD142 also improved reclassification, CD56 did not; a CD25 + CD69 combination showed the largest incremental signal ({Delta}C 0.017, 95% CI 0.002-0.032, p=0.027). Conclusion: Circulating EV surface markers are associated with cross-sectional COPD severity. Exploratory analyses nominate CD25, CD142 and CD25 + CD69 as candidate prognostic markers requiring external validation, suggesting minimally invasive EV profiling could complement clinical assessment in COPD.